Manchego vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAN
70%
20%
10%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
PUE
29%
28%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
TAR
0 - 0
MAN
31%
31%
39%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
DAI
0 - 1
MAN
31%
28%
41%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ILL
0 - 0
LSO
43%
26%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDS
2 - 1
ILL
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ILL
1 - 0
CUE
36%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CDT
4 - 2
ILL
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ILL
0 - 0
MAR
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |