Manchego vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
PIE
3 - 3
MAN
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 1
DAI
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
UDS
2 - 0
MAN
29%
28%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 1
MIG
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 2
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CDT
4 - 0
GAL
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HEL
4 - 0
CDT
31%
27%
41%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAM
27%
29%
44%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CDT
3 - 0
TAR
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
CDT
3 - 1
GRA
25%
29%
46%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | +2 |