CD Manchego vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
MAN
0 - 0
NUM
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAN
72%
19%
9%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAR
57%
26%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
SAL
1 - 0
MAN
59%
25%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 2
SDA
65%
20%
14%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
BET
1 - 2
RAY
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 2
RAY
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 1
FCB
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 1
RAY
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
RAY
0 - 0
SLA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |