Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
NAP
2 - 3
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 2
AUC
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 1
MAN
40%
25%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 4
WAI
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 0
WAI
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
WAI
3 - 0
NAP
34%
23%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
WAI
0 - 3
WAI
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
TEA
1 - 4
WAI
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
WAI
2 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |