Nepal League Round 3

Manang Marshyangdi vs Machhindra analysis

Manang Marshyangdi Machhindra
32 ELO 30
-12.5% Tilt -13.1%
27575º General ELO ranking 34157º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Manang Marshyangdi
21.3%
Draw
24.9%
Machhindra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
Manang Marshyangdi
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.9%
Win probability
Machhindra
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manang Marshyangdi
-14%
+22%
Machhindra

Points and table prediction

Manang Marshyangdi
Their league position
Machhindra
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
45
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Church Boys
48
48
100%
Machhindra
45
45
100%
Nepal Police
41
41
100%
Jawalakhel
37
37
100%
Satdobato
35
35
100%
Nepal Army
34
34
0%
New Road Team
34
34
0%
Three Star
32
32
100%
Manang Marshyangdi
10º
32
32
100%
Sankata
32
32
10º
100%
Himalayan Sherpa
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Friends Club
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Armed Police Force
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Khumaltar
14º
27
27
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Manang Marshyangdi
Machhindra
AFC Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Manang Marshyangdi
Machhindra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manang Marshyangdi
Manang Marshyangdi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2023
MAN
Manang Marshyangdi
1 - 0
Sankata
SAK
49%
22%
29%
32 32 0 0
04 Mar. 2023
MAN
Manang Marshyangdi
1 - 1
Himalayan Sherpa
HIS
50%
22%
28%
32 32 0 0
14 Feb. 2020
JYC
Jawalakhel
0 - 1
Manang Marshyangdi
MAN
35%
26%
39%
44 39 5 -12
11 Feb. 2020
POL
Nepal Police
0 - 2
Manang Marshyangdi
MAN
25%
24%
51%
44 33 11 0
08 Feb. 2020
MAN
Manang Marshyangdi
4 - 1
New Road Team
NRT
41%
25%
34%
42 43 1 +2

Matches

Machhindra
Machhindra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2023
ARM
Nepal Army
2 - 0
Machhindra
MFC
51%
22%
27%
30 32 2 0
05 Mar. 2023
MFC
Machhindra
1 - 3
Jawalakhel
JYC
51%
21%
28%
32 32 0 -2
05 Apr. 2022
MFC
Machhindra
1 - 2
Blue Star
BLU
72%
17%
11%
47 33 14 -15
15 Feb. 2020
MFC
Machhindra
1 - 0
Nepal Army
ARM
42%
25%
33%
46 49 3 +1
10 Feb. 2020
SAK
Sankata
1 - 3
Machhindra
MFC
26%
24%
50%
46 36 10 0