CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Mamelodi Sundowns vs AS Vita Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
SUN
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 1
MBO
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
SUN
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -7 |
Matches
AS Vita Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 3
VCL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
SUN
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
VCL
0 - 0
SHA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
VCL
2 - 0
SAI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
VCL
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |