Mamelodi Sundowns vs Mbombela United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
SUN
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 3
BLO
70%
20%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEO
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
SUN
25%
23%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +5 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SSU
0 - 2
SUN
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mbombela United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
THA
0 - 1
MBO
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MBO
0 - 0
SFC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SIB
0 - 4
MBO
9%
17%
75%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MBO
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MTH
1 - 1
MBO
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |