Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
6º
1º
31
1º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
5 - 2
SIB
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 10 | 65 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 2
SUN
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 1
FAR
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
SUN
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 0
SUN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GOL
1 - 2
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GOL
1 - 1
TSG
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 1
GOL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
0 - 0
GOL
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 0
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |