Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
MPU
3 - 2
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
SUN
0 - 0
PIR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
SUN
3 - 2
BID
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
GOL
1 - 2
BLA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
BID
0 - 0
GOL
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 0
GOL
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GOL
0 - 0
PIR
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GOL
1 - 1
PAR
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |