Uefa Youth League 1/64
Global 3-5
Malmö FF U19 vs HJK Helsinki U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAL
45%
22%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 1
GOT
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
MAL
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 1
HAM
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DJU
0 - 1
MAL
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HJK
6 - 1
TVK
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 0
VNT
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HJS
0 - 7
HJK
15%
17%
68%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 5
IFK
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |