Mali vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
EGY
0 - 1
MLI
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1994 |
EGY
2 - 1
MLI
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
CIV
2 - 1
MLI
72%
17%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
MLI
1 - 3
CIV
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
ZMB
4 - 0
MLI
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
MUS
1 - 3
MLI
23%
27%
50%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
SYC
2 - 6
MUS
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
MDG
2 - 1
MUS
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1992 |
LSO
2 - 2
MUS
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
LSO
1 - 0
MUS
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |