Mali U23 vs México U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 1
MEX
33%
24%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
USA
0 - 4
MEX
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
MEX
1 - 1
CRC
61%
21%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
MEX
4 - 0
JAM
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
TYT
1 - 3
MEX
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |