Malacateco vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
5º
17
1º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 2
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |