Apertura Guatemala Normal Season Round 21

Malacateco vs Xinabajul analysis

Malacateco Xinabajul
65 ELO 58
-3% Tilt -10.6%
2852º General ELO ranking 2963º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Malacateco
25%
Draw
18.8%
Xinabajul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
Malacateco
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.8%
Win probability
Xinabajul
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Malacateco
-3%
-36%
Xinabajul

ELO progression

Malacateco
Xinabajul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malacateco
Malacateco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2022
TOR
Malacateco
2 - 1
Antigua GFC
ANT
42%
28%
30%
63 64 1 0
13 Nov. 2022
IZT
Iztapa
2 - 1
Malacateco
TOR
49%
25%
26%
64 63 1 -1
09 Nov. 2022
TOR
Malacateco
1 - 0
Municipal
MUN
45%
28%
27%
64 64 0 0
06 Nov. 2022
TOR
Malacateco
1 - 0
Achuapa
ACH
49%
26%
25%
64 61 3 0
30 Oct. 2022
COB
Cobán Imperial
2 - 1
Malacateco
TOR
45%
27%
28%
64 64 0 0

Matches

Xinabajul
Xinabajul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2022
XIN
Xinabajul
2 - 1
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
35%
29%
36%
58 60 2 0
13 Nov. 2022
ANT
Antigua GFC
3 - 0
Xinabajul
XIN
64%
21%
15%
58 64 6 0
07 Nov. 2022
XIN
Xinabajul
0 - 2
Xelajú
CHI
31%
29%
40%
59 64 5 -1
30 Oct. 2022
IZT
Iztapa
0 - 1
Xinabajul
XIN
66%
20%
14%
58 64 6 +1
24 Oct. 2022
XIN
Xinabajul
1 - 1
Mixco
MIX
47%
28%
25%
58 56 2 0