Clausura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Malacateco vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
XIN
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
LEO
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
RET
2 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MUN
3 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |