Clausura Guatemala Relegation Play-off Final
Global 6-3
Malacateco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
VEN
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 0
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
HER
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
SLC
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
HER
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |