Malacateco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
11º
7º
6
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 39 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 38 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 37 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 34 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 31 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 30 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 27 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 27 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 24 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 19 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 3
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 2
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
MIX
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CON
2 - 2
TOR
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
CHI
48%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
COB
2 - 2
ACH
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ACH
1 - 2
AUR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ACH
2 - 0
ANT
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LEO
0 - 0
ACH
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ACH
2 - 2
MUN
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |