Makedonija GP vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
MAK
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 1
SIL
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
MAK
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
RAB
53%
26%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
SIL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 2
FCS
6%
14%
80%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
FKS
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 3
FCS
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |