Makedonija GP vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
MAK
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 1
SIL
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
MAK
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
RAB
53%
26%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
SIL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 2
FCS
6%
14%
80%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
FKS
65%
23%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 3
FCS
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |