Mairena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SRQ
2 - 0
MAI
76%
17%
7%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 2
ASJ
35%
27%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAD
4 - 0
MAI
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAI
3 - 0
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 1
MAI
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
ASJ
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 0
SEV
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BET
2 - 1
ALC
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
REC
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 0
LEB
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |