A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest round 1

Mainz 05 U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 VfB Stuttgart U19
32 ELO 33
21.9% Tilt 3.2%
7873º General ELO ranking 5847º
393º Country ELO ranking 288º
ELO win probability
61.3%
Mainz 05 U19
19.9%
Draw
18.8%
VfB Stuttgart U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.8%
Win probability
VfB Stuttgart U19
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
+40%
VfB Stuttgart U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
VfB Stuttgart U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2012
SAA
Saarbrücken U19
0 - 4
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
16%
20%
64%
34 18 16 0
20 May. 2012
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 3
Bayern München U19
BYM
44%
24%
33%
36 40 4 -2
05 May. 2012
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
0 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
38%
24%
38%
35 29 6 +1
29 Apr. 2012
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 4
Freiburg U19
FRE
37%
24%
40%
36 42 6 -1
22 Apr. 2012
NUR
Nürnberg U19
3 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
31%
24%
45%
38 31 7 -2

Matches

VfB Stuttgart U19
VfB Stuttgart U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
2 - 1
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
34%
25%
41%
34 28 6 0
19 May. 2012
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
6 - 2
Saarbrücken U19
SAA
83%
11%
6%
33 18 15 +1
05 May. 2012
BYM
Bayern München U19
2 - 1
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
64%
20%
17%
34 39 5 -1
28 Apr. 2012
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
2 - 1
Hoffenheim U19
HOF
62%
20%
18%
33 30 3 +1
21 Apr. 2012
FRE
Freiburg U19
2 - 1
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
67%
19%
15%
34 41 7 -1