A-Junioren Bundesliga Sur / Suroeste round 3

Mainz 05 U19 vs Kaiserslautern U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Kaiserslautern U19
37 ELO 17
14.8% Tilt 10%
7757º General ELO ranking 9942º
384º Country ELO ranking 481º
ELO win probability
89.8%
Mainz 05 U19
7.3%
Draw
2.9%
Kaiserslautern U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.9%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern U19
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
+82%
Kaiserslautern U19

Points and table prediction

Mainz 05 U19
Their league position
Kaiserslautern U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
10º
20
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hoffenheim U19
67
67
100%
Ingolstadt U19
58
58
100%
VfB Stuttgart U19
48
48
0%
Karlsruher SC U19
48
48
0%
Mainz 05 U19
46
46
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
45
45
100%
Bayern München U19
37
37
100%
1860 München U19
35
35
100%
Nürnberg U19
30
30
100%
Greuther Fürth U19
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Heidenheim U19
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Kaiserslautern U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Sandhausen U19
13º
18
18
13º
100%
FC Augsburg U19
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mainz 05 U19
Kaiserslautern U19
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Kaiserslautern U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt U19
0 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
14%
18%
68%
37 25 12 0
13 Aug. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 2
Nürnberg U19
NUR
58%
20%
22%
37 35 2 0
21 May. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
5 - 1
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
81%
12%
7%
36 23 13 +1
14 May. 2023
MON
B. Mönchengladbach U19
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
11%
16%
74%
37 21 16 -1
23 Apr. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
4 - 2
B. Dortmund U19
BOR
29%
21%
50%
35 42 7 +2

Matches

Kaiserslautern U19
Kaiserslautern U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
1 - 4
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
10%
15%
76%
18 35 17 0
13 Aug. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
66%
18%
16%
18 23 5 0
30 Apr. 2022
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
0 - 4
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
17%
19%
64%
19 29 10 -1
23 Apr. 2022
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
3 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
77%
14%
9%
20 33 13 -1
20 Apr. 2022
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
5 - 0
Saarbrücken U19
SAA
22%
21%
57%
18 23 5 +2