A-Junioren Bundesliga Sur / Suroeste round 14

Mainz 05 U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Ingolstadt U19
24 ELO 20
4.3% Tilt 6.8%
7757º General ELO ranking 9288º
384º Country ELO ranking 448º
ELO win probability
68%
Mainz 05 U19
16.9%
Draw
15.1%
Ingolstadt U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.1%
Win probability
Ingolstadt U19
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
-36%
Ingolstadt U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Ingolstadt U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 2
Bayern München U19
BYM
31%
23%
46%
23 30 7 0
24 Nov. 2018
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
0 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
81%
12%
7%
22 33 11 +1
10 Nov. 2018
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
0 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
29%
23%
48%
22 18 4 0
04 Nov. 2018
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 2
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
60%
20%
20%
22 20 2 0
27 Oct. 2018
HEI
Heidenheim U19
0 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
27%
20%
53%
22 19 3 0

Matches

Ingolstadt U19
Ingolstadt U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
2 - 4
Ingolstadt U19
ING
39%
23%
38%
19 18 1 0
24 Nov. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt U19
1 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
38%
23%
40%
19 20 1 0
18 Nov. 2018
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
1 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
22%
20%
58%
20 13 7 -1
10 Nov. 2018
HEI
Heidenheim U19
6 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
42%
23%
36%
20 19 1 0
03 Nov. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt U19
5 - 1
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
19%
20%
62%
18 25 7 +2