Bundesliga U17 Süd/Südwest round 18

Mainz 05 U17 vs Nürnberg U17 analysis

Mainz 05 U17 Nürnberg U17
20 ELO 17
5.5% Tilt 4.7%
9164º General ELO ranking 8967º
444º Country ELO ranking 435º
ELO win probability
62.3%
Mainz 05 U17
20.3%
Draw
17.4%
Nürnberg U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U17
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.4%
Win probability
Nürnberg U17
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U17
-1%
-37%
Nürnberg U17

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U17
Nürnberg U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U17
Mainz 05 U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2016
STK
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U17
M05
18%
19%
63%
20 13 7 0
14 Feb. 2016
M05
Mainz 05 U17
3 - 1
Hoffenheim U17
HOF
15%
19%
65%
18 28 10 +2
12 Dec. 2015
MUN
TSV 1860 München U17
3 - 0
Mainz 05 U17
M05
43%
25%
33%
19 19 0 -1
05 Dec. 2015
M05
Mainz 05 U17
0 - 1
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
62%
20%
18%
20 17 3 -1
29 Nov. 2015
M05
Mainz 05 U17
4 - 2
Greuther Fürth U17
GRF
48%
23%
29%
19 19 0 +1

Matches

Nürnberg U17
Nürnberg U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2016
SCF
SC Freiburg U17
1 - 1
Nürnberg U17
FCN
56%
22%
22%
18 19 1 0
14 Feb. 2016
FCN
Nürnberg U17
1 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
STK
79%
13%
8%
18 13 5 0
12 Dec. 2015
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
3 - 1
Nürnberg U17
FCN
83%
12%
6%
18 28 10 0
05 Dec. 2015
FCN
Nürnberg U17
1 - 2
TSV 1860 München U17
MUN
56%
22%
22%
19 18 1 -1
14 Nov. 2015
GRF
Greuther Fürth U17
1 - 2
Nürnberg U17
FCN
66%
18%
16%
18 20 2 +1