Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
STE
5 - 0
MAI
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
MAI
0 - 1
HOF
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 1
MAI
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAI
2 - 0
OFC
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STU
0 - 2
MAI
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ULM
3 - 2
SVS
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ULM
2 - 0
RVO
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ELV
1 - 1
ULM
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ULM
1 - 1
HES
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |