Mainz 05 II vs VfL Bochum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 1
MAI
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ELV
1 - 2
MAI
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
HOM
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
BAY
3 - 1
MAI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 3
WIE
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
WIE
5 - 3
BOC
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 3
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 3
S04
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
BOC
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |