Mafra vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAF
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAF
2 - 2
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAF
25%
25%
49%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
4 - 0
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 2
TOU
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
1DE
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 1
TOU
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MOU
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |