Mafra vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
MAF
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
MAF
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 3
MAF
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAF
3 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
TRO
75%
18%
8%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |