MAFCO vs Civil Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MAFCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAF
3 - 1
AIR
48%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SIL
2 - 2
MAF
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MAF
3 - 0
CUN
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 0
MAF
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 0
BUL
53%
25%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Civil Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
EPA
1 - 1
MOY
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AZT
4 - 1
EPA
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CUN
0 - 3
EPA
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BLU
2 - 0
EPA
44%
26%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
EPA
0 - 0
BUL
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |