Madagascar vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
61.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
MAD
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
MTN
3 - 1
MAD
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 0
MAD
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LUX
3 - 3
MAD
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
GUI
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
BDI
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
NGA
44%
28%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
0 - 0
ZIM
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |