Madagascar vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.9%
76.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
21.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
28.1%
0-2
20.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
MAD
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 1
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
GUI
11%
19%
69%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 1
ETH
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
NGA
2 - 0
MAD
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ETH
2 - 2
NGA
22%
29%
49%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
NGA
4 - 1
ARG
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CRC
1 - 0
NGA
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NGA
4 - 0
ETH
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |