Madagascar vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
MAD
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 0
TAN
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 2
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
NAM
4 - 1
ZIM
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 0
MUS
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
SYC
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 0
NAM
80%
15%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |