Machico vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
43
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
LUS
11%
19%
70%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +4 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GON
3 - 2
MAC
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
SAL
6%
13%
81%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
MAC
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BMA
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |