Machico vs CF Andorinha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAC
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
CRU
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
1MA
1 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAM
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Andorinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
AND
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AND
4 - 2
CAN
11%
18%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +5 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PON
4 - 0
AND
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AND
0 - 2
POR
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |