Machico vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CAM
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOA
4%
10%
87%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
ALV
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 1
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALP
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 4
BMA
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALP
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |