Maceratese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 3
MAC
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MAC
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PIS
3 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 3
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
VIT
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 1
SSS
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
SAL
13%
20%
68%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 1
ASG
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 2
SSS
74%
17%
8%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |