European U21 Championship qualifying Group A Round 1

Macedonia del Norte U21 vs Armenia U21 analysis

Macedonia del Norte U21 Armenia U21
44 ELO 51
2.5% Tilt 3.1%
4773º General ELO ranking 8102º
20º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
25.9%
Macedonia del Norte U21
21.1%
Draw
52.9%
Armenia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
Macedonia del Norte U21
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.9%
Win probability
Armenia U21
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macedonia del Norte U21
-36%
-22%
Armenia U21

ELO progression

Macedonia del Norte U21
Armenia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macedonia del Norte U21
Macedonia del Norte U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2003
SVK
Eslovaquia U21
5 - 1
Macedonia del Norte U21
MKD
81%
13%
6%
42 65 23 0
05 Sep. 2003
MKD
Macedonia del Norte U21
1 - 1
Inglaterra U21
ENG
10%
18%
72%
41 74 33 +1
10 Jun. 2003
TUR
Turquía U21
3 - 0
Macedonia del Norte U21
MKD
84%
12%
4%
41 71 30 0
06 Jun. 2003
MKD
Macedonia del Norte U21
1 - 4
Portugal U21
POR
9%
17%
74%
42 75 33 -1
29 Mar. 2003
MKD
Macedonia del Norte U21
0 - 2
Eslovaquia U21
SVK
14%
22%
65%
42 66 24 0

Matches

Armenia U21
Armenia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2003
ARM
Armenia U21
0 - 2
España U21
ESP
11%
21%
68%
53 84 31 0
09 Sep. 2003
NIR
Irlanda del Norte U21
3 - 1
Armenia U21
ARM
33%
23%
44%
54 49 5 -1
05 Sep. 2003
ARM
Armenia U21
0 - 0
Grecia U21
GRC
18%
21%
61%
53 71 18 +1
06 Jun. 2003
UKR
Ucrania U21
4 - 0
Armenia U21
ARM
69%
18%
13%
54 67 13 -1
01 Apr. 2003
ESP
España U21
5 - 0
Armenia U21
ARM
82%
13%
5%
54 83 29 0