Lysekloster vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
14º
5º
10
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 49 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 48 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 47 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 45 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 42 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 38 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 26 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 24 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 14 |
14º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 2
LYS
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 1
LYS
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
LYS
3 - 2
VIK
50%
21%
29%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 4
LYS
29%
22%
49%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 1
SSK
34%
23%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 5
VAR
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKA
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 4
LYS
29%
22%
49%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 2
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
JER
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |