Third Division VFV B Round 21

Lyra-Lierse vs Mechelen U21 analysis

Lyra-Lierse Mechelen U21
50 ELO 36
-3.8% Tilt 0.2%
2253º General ELO ranking 3452º
45º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
74.9%
Lyra-Lierse
16%
Draw
9%
Mechelen U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
Lyra-Lierse
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
Mechelen U21
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lyra-Lierse
-22%
-15%
Mechelen U21

Points and table prediction

Lyra-Lierse
Their league position
Mechelen U21
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
17º
54
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cappellen
63
66
84%
Hades
62
63
84%
Belisia Bilzen
56
59
85%
Sporting Hasselt
55
56
62.5%
Tongeren
53
56
32%
Lyra-Lierse
55
55
47%
Mechelen U21
54
54
51%
Bocholt
49
52
25%
Diegem Sport
49
52
22%
KVC Lille
10º
46
47
10º
49.5%
Racing Mechelen
11º
44
45
11º
51%
KSC City Pirates
13º
41
44
12º
58%
Londerzeel
12º
41
41
13º
58%
Berchem Sport
15º
35
35
14º
40.5%
FC Lebbeke
14º
35
35
15º
47%
KFC Turnhout
16º
34
34
16º
82%
Pepingen-Halle
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Beerschot VA U21
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lyra-Lierse
Mechelen U21
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
30% 21.5%
Mid-table
70% 78.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lyra-Lierse
Mechelen U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lyra-Lierse
Lyra-Lierse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
TUR
KFC Turnhout
1 - 4
Lyra-Lierse
LYR
20%
22%
58%
50 34 16 0
14 Jan. 2023
SPO
Sporting Hasselt
4 - 2
Lyra-Lierse
LYR
26%
24%
50%
51 43 8 -1
08 Jan. 2023
LYR
Lyra-Lierse
1 - 1
Racing Mechelen
RAC
61%
21%
19%
51 45 6 0
18 Dec. 2022
LYR
Lyra-Lierse
1 - 0
KFC Turnhout
TUR
76%
16%
9%
51 36 15 0
11 Dec. 2022
SPO
Belisia Bilzen
2 - 2
Lyra-Lierse
LYR
41%
24%
35%
51 47 4 0

Matches

Mechelen U21
Mechelen U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
MEC
Mechelen U21
4 - 1
Tongeren
TON
11%
18%
71%
33 54 21 0
15 Jan. 2023
MEC
Mechelen U21
0 - 0
Pepingen-Halle
PEP
35%
23%
42%
33 38 5 0
08 Jan. 2023
MEC
Mechelen U21
2 - 2
Londerzeel
LON
26%
23%
51%
33 44 11 0
17 Dec. 2022
DIE
Diegem Sport
3 - 3
Mechelen U21
MEC
74%
17%
10%
32 45 13 +1
11 Dec. 2022
MEC
Mechelen U21
0 - 2
Hades
HAD
22%
24%
54%
34 46 12 -2