Lye Town vs Rocester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lye Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
LYE
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LYE
2 - 2
COV
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COV
2 - 1
LYE
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WES
2 - 3
LYE
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rocester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 0
BOL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
3 - 3
ROC
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 3
ATH
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CLI
6 - 0
ROC
82%
13%
5%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | +11 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
EAS
2 - 0
ROC
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -1 |