Luzi 2008 vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
11º
6º
37
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUZ
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 0
TUR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KFS
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 0
KOR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 2
LUZ
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BES
5 - 1
TUR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 0
BES
54%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BES
1 - 4
FLA
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
BES
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
BES
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |