Challenge League Round 15

Luzern vs YF Juventus analysis

Luzern YF Juventus
59 ELO 48
5.6% Tilt 26%
290º General ELO ranking 4423º
Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
69.2%
Luzern
18.5%
Draw
12.3%
YF Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
Luzern
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
YF Juventus
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-4%
+6%
YF Juventus

ELO progression

Luzern
YF Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2004
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 6
Luzern
FCL
62%
22%
16%
57 75 18 0
30 Oct. 2004
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
37%
25%
38%
57 65 8 0
17 Oct. 2004
CHI
Chiasso
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
46%
25%
30%
57 59 2 0
09 Oct. 2004
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Yverdon
YVE
45%
25%
30%
57 62 5 0
02 Oct. 2004
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Sion
SIO
44%
25%
31%
58 63 5 -1

Matches

YF Juventus
YF Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2004
YFJ
YF Juventus
4 - 3
Bulle
BUL
36%
24%
40%
47 52 5 0
31 Oct. 2004
SIO
Sion
4 - 2
YF Juventus
YFJ
69%
19%
12%
48 64 16 -1
17 Oct. 2004
YFJ
YF Juventus
3 - 2
Baden
BAD
50%
23%
27%
47 47 0 +1
10 Oct. 2004
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
YF Juventus
YFJ
73%
17%
11%
46 61 15 +1
03 Oct. 2004
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
31%
24%
44%
45 54 9 +1