Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 2
GCZ
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
YOB
0 - 1
FCL
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 4
FCL
7%
15%
78%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GCZ
2 - 1
THU
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 3
THU
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
THU
4 - 1
LAU
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |