Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DEL
1 - 1
FCL
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GNK
2 - 0
FCL
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
THU
2 - 1
YOB
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DUD
3 - 4
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GCZ
1 - 0
THU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |