Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
66%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 2
LAU
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCL
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCL
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 2
YOB
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
GCZ
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
THU
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |