UCL 1/16

Global 0-5

Luzern vs PSV analysis

Luzern PSV
76 ELO 89
-7% Tilt 3.7%
292º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22%
Luzern
25.3%
Draw
52.7%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
Luzern
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.7%
Win probability
PSV
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-8%
+9%
PSV

ELO progression

Luzern
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 1989
YOB
Young Boys
5 - 3
Luzern
FCL
56%
23%
21%
76 76 0 0
13 Sep. 1989
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
83%
12%
5%
77 89 12 -1
06 Sep. 1989
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Aarau
FCA
59%
24%
18%
76 73 3 +1
02 Sep. 1989
FCL
Luzern
4 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
76 79 3 0
26 Aug. 1989
SER
Servette
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
50%
25%
25%
76 73 3 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 1989
PSV
PSV
9 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
84%
11%
5%
88 71 17 0
17 Sep. 1989
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 5
PSV
PSV
16%
23%
61%
88 63 25 0
13 Sep. 1989
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
83%
12%
5%
89 77 12 -1
10 Sep. 1989
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
53%
23%
24%
88 88 0 +1
03 Sep. 1989
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Den Bosch
BOS
84%
11%
5%
88 72 16 0