Swiss Super League Round 5

Luzern vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Luzern Neuchâtel Xamax
72 ELO 72
5.8% Tilt 2.8%
287º General ELO ranking 1573º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Luzern
25.4%
Draw
23.1%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
Luzern
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.1%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-8%
-3%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Luzern
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2009
BAS
Basel
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
71%
18%
11%
72 83 11 0
26 Jul. 2009
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
33%
26%
42%
71 80 9 +1
22 Jul. 2009
SIO
Sion
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
50%
26%
24%
72 74 2 -1
19 Jul. 2009
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
52%
24%
24%
71 71 0 +1
30 May. 2009
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
49%
26%
25%
72 74 2 -1

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2009
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 3
Sion
SIO
51%
24%
24%
73 74 1 0
25 Jul. 2009
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
52%
26%
23%
73 74 1 0
18 Jul. 2009
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
72 83 11 +1
12 Jul. 2009
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
53%
25%
23%
72 72 0 0
30 May. 2009
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
49%
26%
25%
74 72 2 -2