Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
YOB
5 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 0
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 1
SIO
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCV
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |