Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 3
SIO
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 0
STB
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 2
WIN
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 2
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 3
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
HSV
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ZUR
0 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |