Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
FCL
0 - 0
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 3
WIN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
NEX
2 - 2
FCL
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
FCL
4 - 0
WIL
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
LUG
5 - 3
GCZ
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 1
SIO
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
SIO
2 - 1
LUG
35%
27%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
LUG
4 - 1
STG
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |