Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
FCL
0 - 0
YOB
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
SER
3 - 2
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1998 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
FCL
3 - 2
ZUR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAU
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
GCZ
3 - 2
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 2
STG
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
NEX
1 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |